Military Review

Has the war between the USA and Iran already begun?

26
As people from the White House say, the operation against terrorists in Syria and in Iraq is coming to an end. The collapse of the “state” of bearded militants is not far off. But what next? And then what is visible today: the war between the United States and Iran. Washington is asleep and sees how to get into a fight with Iran and Syria for the sake of control over the territories from which the Islamists are supplanted.


Has the war between the USA and Iran already begun?


Other informed sources of American origin have no doubt: the war has already begun, since the Pentagon aimed to prevent the Syrian army and Iranian and pro-Iranian forces into the Euphrates valley. US outposts may appear in some parts of Iraq. In the language of White House officials, the idea of ​​such a “preventive” intervention in the evolving situation in Syria and Iraq means at the same time complete suppression by the Americans and their allies of the “Islamic state” (prohibited in the Russian Federation) and the “stabilization” of the position of “moderate opposition” in Syria. As for Assad, he will not be at the helm of power.

This is told by Karen de Young and Greg Jaffe in Washington Post.

The United States is in fact "in conflict" with Syria and Iran, the authors of the material write in The Washington Post. Officials of the Trump administration, awaiting the defeat of the "Islamic state" in its Syrian "capital" Raqqah, are already planning the "next stage of the war" - "the difficult struggle that will lead them to direct conflict with the Syrian government and Iranian forces."

To some extent, this collision has already begun, analysts believe. The unprecedented recent US strikes "against the regime and militias supported by Iranian forces" were a "warning" to President Assad and Tehran. Washington made it clear that he would not allow him to confront American forces and their local allies.

As the Assad forces and the militia began to move eastward, senior White House officials began to "push" the Pentagon to create outposts in the desert region. The purpose of such American outposts is to prevent the Syrian or Iranian military presence, which could prevent the US military from fighting the IG dominant forces here (meaning the Euphrates valley to the south of Raqqa, as well as sparsely populated areas of Iraq, where militants could regroup and continue to plan terrorist attacks against the West).

Officials said the publication that the statements of the Syrian government in the relevant area can also "undermine progress towards a political settlement", which should lead to a "stabilization" of the country. Control over the country of Assad should be limited, and ultimately - "push" the president from power.

The rationality and necessity of the brief strategy described above (including the United States in the civil war in Syria after several years of trying to stay away from it and not wanting to risk direct confrontation with Iran and Russia) became the subject of “intense debate” between the White House and the Pentagon, journalists said.

Not everyone in the Pentagon is satisfied with this strategy, some militaries are actively resisting it: is it possible to defend American troops that take isolated positions in Syria or move closer to Iranian forces in Iraq? European allies in the Middle East coalition also question the possibility of the success of such a strategy.

One of the White House officials, on condition of anonymity about such concerns, said: “If you are concerned that any incident could lead to Iran’s exploitation of US vulnerabilities ... If you don’t think America has real interests to fight for, then OK".

The official noted that expanding the role of the United States would not require more troops, since there would be enough air force.

Another official said that the question is not in the strategy itself and its goals, but in how best to implement the strategy.

It is also reported that the decision to bring down the Iranian unmanned aerial vehicles and the Syrian fighter was made by the Pentagon, and not the White House. The decision to strike was made "in response to approaching or attacking American troops and their allies in Syria." This was reported by the same anonymous official.

Experts believe that the previous administration is too "tormented" with the decisions regarding Syria. Ilan Goldenberg, a former high-ranking Pentagon official who now heads the New American Security Center for the Middle East, agrees with this statement. In his opinion, the B. H. Obama administration “suffered too much” about every decision in Syria. However, Mr. Goldenberg is also dissatisfied with the actions of Trump, who was not able to formulate any strategy at all. “This is the worst of all worlds,” said the expert. “I know that the president is interested in secret plans,” Goldenberg says ironically. “But this situation requires clarity regarding our goals and what we will do or will not tolerate.”

During his election campaign, Trump promised to announce a new strategy for defeating the Islamic State during his first month in office. However, his strategy still remains undisclosed. For several months, Trump simply ... follows the lead of President Barack Obama, avoiding clashes with Assad, Iran and Russia, and continuing to deliver targeted strikes at IG strongholds. True, in April, Trump hit the Assad forces with cruise missiles - this happened after the use of chemical weapons. Since then, “direct clashes” have begun to occur between the United States and the Assad regime. Trump's campaign to unite efforts with Russia against the “Islamic State” has largely come to naught due to the widening gap between Washington and Moscow. Not less than three times in May and June, American troops bombed Iranian troops - the militia approaching the At-Tanf garrison. Russia, meanwhile, said it would prepare its powerful air defense system in Syria - where American aircraft operate.

In the White House, senior officials in charge of developing a policy on Syria point out that Iran’s goal “seems to be aimed at building ties with Iran’s friendly forces on the other side of the border, controlling lines of communication, and trying to block us [the US coalition] - exactly Our commanders and strategists assess the situation ... "If it affects the political result, that is, it will allow Iran to further strengthen its position in Syria as the dominant force in the long term, then it will threaten America itself The official strategy of struggle against “IG”, the official added, as well as threaten the possibility of achieving political reconciliation. “For us,” said the official, “this is the biggest concern.”

Strangely enough, we note that the White House employee, who answered the Washington Post, was ashamed to voice the White House’s “strategy”. After all, the newspaper says in black and white that President Trump does not have a Syrian strategy. Probably, there is something in the strategy, and this is something that remained in the White House from the times of Obama and Hillary Clinton, who constantly kept saying: “Assad must go.” However, there is a difference.

Trump's strategy in Syria is not based on the opposition of IG. At least this item is not the main one. The main priority is the removal of Assad from power and the transfer of Syria into the hands of the “moderate opposition”. The second priority is the infringement of Iran’s interests in the region. At this point, Trump is strikingly different from Obama, who sought to overcome differences with Tehran through diplomacy and the UN.

The endless war in Syria Trump is only on hand: this businessman started an economic upsurge in the United States through orders to the military-industrial complex. Expect any pacification of the parties in Syria at Trump is not necessary. And in the very near future, aerial clashes between coalition forces and the Iranian militia are likely. Washington will show itself as the "master" in the Middle East. Fighters, bombers, rockets will replace Trump's diplomacy. No wonder he cuts the budget of the State Department!

Observed and commented on Oleg Chuvakin
- especially for topwar.ru
26 comments
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  1. Taran 75
    Taran 75 29 June 2017 16: 02
    +7
    That the United States, that Israel is one serpentine ball, right now, "comrades" will fly, but let them first read today's article on VO, how Israel helps Nusra ....
    1. Teberii
      Teberii 29 June 2017 18: 26
      0
      They themselves will not dirty their hands and ruin their soldiers, but the Saudis are just a friend.
      1. Bakash
        Bakash 2 July 2017 17: 12
        0
        Do not worry so much
    2. padded jacket
      padded jacket 29 June 2017 18: 40
      +3
      The "war" between the United States and Iran began in 1979 when "patriotic" people came to power in the country who were "tired" that under the leadership of the Shah, "businessmen" from the United States of England and Israel robbed their country.
      Failure of Operation Eagle Claw. Iran 1979.

      Iran was weak then. I hope now (with our support of China) that it will be able to resist the gang of "chaos preachers" on our planet represented by the USA of Israel and other Washington satellites.
      Now, together with Iran, Iraqi volunteers and a hezbollah, we are fighting in Syria against the terror that the USA "raised" the United States Israel Saudi Arabia Qatar Turkey with the support of the EU countries and I hope our successful mutual partnership will continue in the future.
      Strategic Partnership of Iran and Russia

      The secretary of the Supreme Council of National Security of Iran said: “The coalition, Iran, Russia, Syria, Iraq, as well as the Lebanese Hezbollah movement was able to change the balance of forces that has long been established on the Syrian front. The terrorists changed their steady offensive to a retreat.
      In an interview with the Iran and Eurasia Foundation for the Study of Iran (IRAS), Secretary of the Iranian Security Council Ali Shamkhani spoke about the political evolution of the region, with particular emphasis on the situation in Syria, as well as on Russian-Iranian cooperation in Syria:
      - Strategic in nature means cooperation at the highest level - between the leaders of the two countries - as well as at the military level. These are meetings and contacts at the level of chiefs of staff of the armed forces, national security councils and defense departments of the two states. In addition, it is observed in the field of joint military operations.
      Iran chooses the necessary weapons for itself. He chooses exactly the weapons that he really needs, as well as those technologies that can be produced domestically only in very limited quantities.
      - Russian-Iranian cooperation in the fight against terrorism was originally based on Russia's desire to support the legitimate Syrian government, which was at war with terrorists, and also on common strategic interests in this matter. And it remains so now. Naturally, it is quite possible that sometimes our goals may not coincide in some areas, such as, for example, the struggle against the Zionist regime.
      Full article here: http://inosmi.ru/politic/20170616/239599709.html
      1. art030765
        art030765 29 June 2017 19: 54
        +1
        Iran and Russia have different goals in Syria we are temporary allies
        1. padded jacket
          padded jacket 29 June 2017 19: 58
          +2
          Quote: art030765
          Iran and Russia have different goals in Syria we are temporary allies

          Our goals are just the same - to keep Syria as a state and it is advisable to leave Assad in power without letting us turn the country into an enclave of terrorism ..
          But Iran is better for us to make our permanent ally in the region.
          1. Shahno
            Shahno 30 June 2017 07: 15
            +2
            Turn a country from an enclave of some terrorists to an enclave of others? Something someone does not finish. Or it can simply strengthen its influence on BV in 5000 km from its border. What are you too shy to say?
            1. padded jacket
              padded jacket 30 June 2017 19: 09
              +4
              Quote: Shahno
              Turn a country from an enclave of some terrorists to an enclave of others?

              There is already an enclave of Israel lol
              1. Talgat
                Talgat 7 July 2017 15: 19
                +1
                The United States has long been waging a war against Iran - after the death of the USSR, this is the last consistent opponent of the dictates of the Fed and the United States, and it is clear that Iran is the target of US aggression by the Saudis and Israel

                But now it’s not just become - Iran is supported by both Russia and China. The Kazakhstan Iran railway was built - on which you can transfer, if necessary, everything you want from s-300 to Chinese special forces

                Iran understands who his friends are in this difficult and aggressive world
                In all the speeches, both Sajidi and Rouhani and Ahmadinejad and all the others have always steadily called the two closest friends of Iran - Russia and us Kazakhstan
                1. Talgat
                  Talgat 7 July 2017 15: 21
                  +1
                  Photo to the opening of the railway

            2. Grits
              Grits 1 July 2017 06: 19
              +2
              Turn a country from an enclave of some terrorists to an enclave of others?
              The most important terrorist in the BV is the state of Israel itself. All neighbors have already reached the liver, and everyone is screaming about the fight against terror.
            3. Nyrobsky
              Nyrobsky 3 July 2017 22: 44
              0
              Quote: Shahno
              Turn a country from an enclave of some terrorists to an enclave of others? Something someone does not finish. Or it can simply strengthen its influence on BV in 5000 km from its border. What are you too shy to say?

              And you are not confused by the fact that the United States has more than five hundred of its bases scattered around the world? Why can’t Russia have its base in Tartus and Hmeimim? Yes, we kind of as before did not hesitate to declare the presence of our interest in Syria in the form of these bases.
      2. ver_
        ver_ 30 June 2017 03: 18
        +2
        ... China = China is not a very ancient country - all its antiquity was falsified in the 17th century .. That China, that Japan is one nation, but this did not prevent them from successfully killing each other and using rats as experimental guides in their genetic experiments ..
        We have no reason to get into all the * world * disassemblies .. Apart from problems that are far from pleasant, nothing good will bring us .. We have no friends in the World outside our army and navy. We’ll sit under a tree on a mountain at a table with a samovar - look at the picturesque landscape .. Is it familiar? .. - let them weaken each other .. What in China, Japan, the Arabs of all modifications - the human resource is higher than the roof - the flag is in their hands - eliminate the imbalance on their own ... Atlanta is hard to hold the sky on its shoulders ..
        1. The comment was deleted.
      3. And Us Rat
        And Us Rat 30 June 2017 13: 02
        +1
        Quote: quilted jacket
        Strategic Partnership of Iran and Russia

        You put it wrong - "The strategic interests of Iran in Russia", so it will be more accurate. fellow
        Everyone has long known that you are lobbying for Tehran’s interests in the VO, and the interests of the Russian Federation are secondary to you. yes
        1. Lycan
          Lycan 3 July 2017 22: 39
          0
          Quote: And Us Rat
          You put it wrong - "The strategic interests of Iran in Russia", so it will be more accurate.

          Ay-yy-yy, my dear, again (like brothers to thousands of years ago) you pit the "heated" side to weaken both .... negative Yes Yes exactly, unobtrusivelyperhaps even without fully realizing you are heating up the situation. Well, the strategy is good. But we, perhaps, will remain in our opinion: officer. Israel (with my great respect for the organization of society) is a “serocardinal” provocateur, and the United States (+ sometimes NATO) is a baton (even a sling in your own way) for direct suppression, if you do not provoke internal tribes. Although the main "tool" is a systematic violent and / or morally corrupting destabilization of neighbors.
          (While deliberate bombardments in response to stray shells are again a provocation. This is with the assurance that the United States will certainly intervene in the event of a natural attack. This is a strategy from the animal world and later anthropoid tribes.)
    3. Titsen
      Titsen 30 June 2017 06: 55
      +1
      Quote: Taran 75
      right now, "comrades" will fly, but first at first read today's article on how the Israel helps nusra ....


      Comrades do not care about the articles, if only they themselves were good!
    4. And Us Rat
      And Us Rat 30 June 2017 06: 59
      +2
      Quote: Taran 75
      That the United States, that Israel is one serpentine ball, right now, "comrades" will fly, but let them first read today's article on VO, how Israel helps Nusra ....


      The UN Security Council demands the retreat of the parties fighting in Syria from the border with Israel.
      The Security Council unanimously condemned the fact that the battles between the government army of President Bashar al-Assad and the rebels take place in the area of ​​the demarcation line in the Golan Heights, dividing Israel and Syria.
      The resolution, initiated by the United States and Russia, states that hostilities in the immediate vicinity of the Israeli border endanger UN citizens and peacekeeping forces.
      1. iouris
        iouris 30 June 2017 11: 40
        +2
        Quote: And Us Rat
        The UN Security Council demands the retreat of the parties fighting in Syria from the border with Israel.

        The correct resolution. Provided that Israel also "backslides" from the border.
        1. And Us Rat
          And Us Rat 30 June 2017 12: 58
          +1
          Quote: iouris
          Provided that Israel also "backslides" from the border ...

          And literally an hour after such insanity, all evil spirits (from Hezbollah to the Islamic State) will climb over the fence with the aim of slaughtering and abducting residents of border Israeli settlements. fool
          Fortunately, people who are friends with the head are sitting in the UN Security Council, therefore, idiotic ideas practically do not arise there. yes
          1. padded jacket
            padded jacket 30 June 2017 19: 15
            +1
            Quote: And Us Rat
            And literally an hour after such insanity, all evil spirits (from Hezbollah to the Islamic State) will climb over the fence with the aim of slaughtering and abducting residents of border Israeli settlements.

            So far, on the contrary, various incomprehensible personalities from Israel climb there.
            21-year-old Jewish youth fled home to join ISIS
            The Foreign Ministry said that a citizen of the country who intended to cross the border with Syria to join the Islamic State was returned from Turkey to Israel.

            In this post The Foreign Ministry noted that, unlike other cases, this is not about the Israeli Arab, but about the Jew.
            http://newsru.co.il/israel/01sep2015/ig_001.html
            1. karish
              karish 30 June 2017 19: 20
              +3
              Quote: quilted jacket
              In this message, the Foreign Ministry notes that, unlike other cases, this is not about the Israeli Arab, but about the Jew.
              http://newsru.co.il/israel/01sep2015/ig_001.html

              Well, do not quote the whole article?
              The Foreign Ministry notes that the speech it’s about a young man who is still under the care of his parents because of specific health problems, and other information about him was not disclosed for humanitarian reasons.
          2. Lycan
            Lycan 3 July 2017 22: 46
            0
            Quote: And Us Rat
            And literally an hour after such insanity, all evil spirits will climb through the fence (from Hezbollah to the Islamic State

            And why should government troops bomb?
            https://lenta.ru/news/2017/06/28/israel/
            (Just don’t say that “but how do we stop the Barmalei?” - cordons, satellite and air tracking, coordination with the Syrian government. Are you unsatisfied? - Then Israel is on the Barmalei side, and provocations are exclusively from him. )
  2. duchy
    duchy 30 June 2017 06: 28
    +2
    "Calm down" the United States without 3MP, can only Yellowstone. winked
  3. high
    high 30 June 2017 11: 03
    +3
    It would not hurt the author to explain why Iran is considered by Arab countries a hotbed of terrorism ...
    Why did the Arab countries recognize the ally of Iran - Hisbollah as a terrorist organization ...
    1. protoss
      protoss 1 July 2017 02: 04
      0
      everyone has their own terrorists there, everyone sponsors someone. Israel, by the way, does not stand aside from this.
    2. Oleg7700
      Oleg7700 2 July 2017 16: 26
      +1
      "And in the very near future, air clashes between coalition forces and the Iranian militia are likely." To live and see with just one eye how they will collide in the air. The author will explain everything ...
  4. The comment was deleted.