Iran's new ally will help it control the Strait of Hormuz
The agreement reached, first of all, implies the establishment of control over the Strait of Hormuz, which is a corridor through which more than 85% of oil produced in the Gulf countries is transported.
According to the Iranian scholar, Professor of the Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences Vladimir Sazhin, control over the northern part of the Strait of Hormuz is exercised by Iran, and control over the southern part is Oman. It is with Oman that Tehran has very good relations, if we talk about relations with the countries of the Persian Gulf. Therefore, a cooperation agreement is quite logical.
The whole world is concerned about Iran’s repeated promises to block the Strait of Hormuz, as this could lead to a sharp rise in oil prices. In this situation, Tehran’s partnership with one of the countries in the region will probably make the latter the owner of important information on Iran’s future plans.
Rajab Safarov, who is the director of the Center for the Study of Modern Iran, believes that all parties are interested in such an agreement, as the Arab countries will know about Iran’s intentions, and through them the West will have such information. Teran will also show the world the transparency of its intentions.
Oman itself, being a small country on the coast of the strategically important Strait of Hormuz, from cooperation with Iran, one of the most powerful countries in the region, receives a certain degree of protection in the event of local incidents.
Vladimir Sazhin believes that Oman agreed to cooperate after consulting with the Gulf Cooperation Council, an influential organization whose secretariat is located in the capital of Saudi Arabia. The Council coordinates the economic, cultural and partly military cooperation between the Gulf countries.
Such cooperation is particularly valuable in light of the deterioration of relations between Iran and Saudi Arabia to the extent that Tehran has become even a bigger enemy than Israel. The cause of sharply deteriorated relations was the process of strengthening Sunni in the region, which led to the opposition of the Sunnis and Shiites, supported by Iran.
Rajab Safarov explains that relations with all other Gulf countries remain very tense: the UAE requires Tehran to transfer several islands in the Strait of Hormuz, in Bahrain there is a strong confrontation between Shiites and Sunnis, and such countries as Qatar, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Iraq are influenced by the United States of America.
The agreement reached between Tehran and Muscat is primarily of political importance. It is unlikely in this case we can talk about full-scale military cooperation, since the combat power of the Iranian Republic and Oman is difficult to compare.
According to Igor Korotchenko, who is the director of the World Trade Analysis Center weaponsThe main striking force of the Omani Navy is 3 of the multipurpose “Karif” type corvette, while Iran has only corvettes - 5.
In addition, Iran has submarines, boats, anti-ship missiles, and sea aviation, marines, etc.
There is a very small possibility that, in the event of a danger, Oman and Iran will block the Strait of Hormuz. However, Oman can become a mediator who is trusted not only by Iran, but also by its opponents.
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