Military Review

Ballistic missile production is behind schedule

36
Some plants of the rocket and space industry switched to a three-shift operation. Despite all the efforts being made, the fulfillment of the rearmament plan for the Strategic Missile Forces (Strategic Missile Forces) has shifted to the right by a year, and in the future, the gap with the plan may increase to two years.


Ballistic missile production is behind schedule


In November 2011, Sergey Naryshkin, at that time - the head of the presidential administration of the Russian Federation, during a visit to the testing ground near Luga in the Leningrad Region, said that the share of modern military equipment in the Strategic Missile Forces to 2020 would be 100%. Dmitry Rogozin, who was then Russia's permanent representative to NATO, was present at the test site along with him. A month later, after becoming vice-premier in charge of the military-industrial complex, Rogozin over the years repeatedly repeated the thesis about updating strategic nuclear forces by 100% by 2020.

In December, at the expanded meeting of the Defense Ministry board, Sergei Shoigu noted that the equipment of the strategic nuclear forces (SNF) with modern weapons was brought to 2014%.

In the spring of 2015, the media, including those belonging to the Ministry of Defense, reported that the share of modern complexes in the Strategic Missile Forces, taking into account rearmament at Yars, is about 50%. It is planned that in 2016 it will be increased to 60%, and in 2021-m - to 100%.

Let's make a reservation right away: the Strategic Missile Forces are one of the components of the nuclear triad, the largest in terms of the number of nuclear warheads and their carriers, and also the most intensively updated, unlike the sea and aviation components. At least it should be. If in December 2014 the share of new weapons in the strategic nuclear forces amounted to 56%, in five months they could not drop to 50% in the Strategic Missile Forces, if only because the Strategic Missile Forces were renewed at a faster pace.

In May, the press service of the Strategic Missile Forces 2016 distributed information in which it quoted Colonel-General Sergei Karakaev: “According to the commander of the Strategic Missile Forces, the share of new missile systems in the Strategic Missile Forces group will constantly increase. Today it is already 56%. ”

In other words, the information in the media turned out to be correct - the indicator in 56% in the Strategic Missile Forces was reached not in 2014, and not even in 2015, but in 2016.

If we talk about the nuclear triad as a whole, then its update is proceeding strictly according to plan. In December, 2016, speaking at the extended board of the Ministry of Defense, Sergei Shoigu said: “The 41 has a new ballistic missile deployed in the Armed Forces. This made it possible to reach the 60-percent level of equipping the nuclear triad with modern weapons. ”

If the updating of the SNF as a whole is proceeding in a planned manner, then why are the dates for updating the SMF constantly shifting to the right? Over the past three years, there has been a lag in the implementation of plans to re-equip the Strategic Missile Forces for about one year. If this pace continues, over the next three years, the gap with the plan will increase by another year. It is no coincidence that in May last year the press service of the Strategic Missile Forces reported: “The Supreme Commander set us the task to bring the share of modern missiles to 2022% by 100”. Thus, the lag predicted by the Strategic Missile Forces themselves is two years.

The Ministry of Defense continues to insist on the fulfillment of plans by the industry not in 2022, but at least in 2021. This is the last timeline, but he is on the verge of a foul. After this period, it will be possible to say that the program for the rearmament of the Strategic Missile Forces has been broken, since the budget funds allocated for it will end.

“Currently, there is a large-scale equipment of the Strategic Missile Forces and naval nuclear deterrence forces with modern strategic missile systems, and modernization of long-range aviation aircraft is underway. This will allow 2021 to bring their equipment with modern weapons to 72%, which will maintain the nuclear deterrence potential at the required level, ”Army General Sergei Shoigu told 12 on January 2017 in the installation lecture on the Army and Society course for officers. , officials and members of the public. Thus, the Minister confirmed that the renewal dates from 2020 year are transferred to 2021 year.

There is a significant circumstance that necessitates compliance with this deadline. In the first half of this year, throwing tests of the new Sarmat heavy rocket RS-28 are being planned, which should replace the RS-20В “Voevoda” produced in Ukraine. The Military Balance - 2016 catalog of the British International Institute for Strategic Studies indicates that in Russia there are still 54 Ukrainian missiles on combat duty, the life of which will end at the beginning of the 2020s. By this time, one of the plants must be prepared for the production of PC-28. This is particularly important to do, given the deployment in the West of the missile defense system (ABM), which can be overcome heavy missiles.

At the same time, Sergei Shoigu suggested that in the future a gradual transfer of the deterrent factor from the nuclear to the non-nuclear plane is possible. “By the 2021 year, it is planned to increase the combat capabilities of domestic strategic non-nuclear forces more than four times, which will make it possible to fully solve the tasks of non-nuclear deterrence,” said the Minister of Defense.

However, setting tasks for the military department at 2017, Russian President Vladimir Putin called the strengthening of the combat potential of the strategic nuclear forces at the expense of missile systems capable of reliably overcoming existing and future missile defense systems. And only in conjunction with the strategic nuclear forces - to bring strategic non-nuclear forces to a qualitatively new level. At the same time, Putin promised all outsiders in the defense industry the most stringent sanctions for disrupting contracts.

Suppliers of ballistic missiles this year will have to think hard about how to fulfill the order of the Ministry of Defense and at the same time avoid the assault, which has never led to an increase in the quality of the finished product.
Originator:
http://nvo.ng.ru/armament/2017-01-27/2_934_red.html
36 comments
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  1. Banishing liberoids
    Banishing liberoids 28 January 2017 07: 04
    +11
    They found the last ones quickly, but as elsewhere, the equipment in the production has a high degree of wear and tear, a lack of specialists, or a low level of knowledge of those who go into production, do not care about anyone? Well, well, it will be even worse and the deadlines will be postponed more than once.
    1. antivirus
      antivirus 28 January 2017 09: 21
      +4
      My comment can be (I allow) a splash screen, on the main VO.
      Extremes were found quickly ...
      I wrote "Generation of Potanin," we entered another era. They carried out privatization. Next to Potanin and Alikvkrov, and others, all of us who were 92-25 years old were 30-XNUMX years old. Those who began an independent life, worked and studied with future oligarchs. Their example of personal enrichment is before our eyes. The goal of all life is then set for all life (min active) and Potanin and Alikverov, etc., and we will earn personal fortunes (for example, different houses, some in the Canaries, who is the hut in the village). What then did the heads invest in us for the whole life of our generation. And rocket production is a way of enrichment. There is no purpose to be poor and to modernize the strategic nuclear forces.
      There is a goal to earn money wherever you can and without climbing, on what and how you like. Lots and more.
      Breaking the mood of 50 million people is stupid. It is possible to build new promising goals for the next generation. And with our generation, everything is clear, just push it away from the feeder (along with the Potanins and Alekverovs and Vekselbergs, etc. ----- see Forbes)
    2. siberalt
      siberalt 28 January 2017 13: 03
      +1
      Cancel the moratorium on execution and the case will move forward.
    3. Pindermyak
      Pindermyak 28 January 2017 21: 42
      +3
      What are you saying? What is the level of knowledge in the workplace? In our research institute TM people with higher education work as janitors. But the people special on the side of the people are searching and finding. So everything, as usual, comes down to the role of the individual in history.
  2. Gray brother
    Gray brother 28 January 2017 07: 12
    +8
    I don’t understand what the article is about. The author is surprised that the deadlines are being shifted, well, this is a normal phenomenon, and after all, the operating dates (horror) can be extended.
    The Ministry of Defense continues to insist on the fulfillment of plans by the industry not in 2022, but at least in 2021. This is the last timeline, but he is on the verge of a foul. After this period, it will be possible to say that the program for the rearmament of the Strategic Missile Forces has been broken, since the budget funds allocated for it will end.

    Here I’m just freaking out - that Russia will end in 2021 or what? Another highlight.

    I have seen such predictors.
    1. gg.na
      gg.na 28 January 2017 07: 37
      +1
      This Zhukovsky is the same from the liberals, and they are so much screaming as undercut pigs wassat and in this your repost, the liberalist from the 5th column screams ... laughing and I am warm in my soul from his squeals I laugh like a horse wassat gee-gee-gee and gloating !!! wink hee hee lol !!!
    2. rpek32
      rpek32 28 January 2017 07: 41
      +2
      picture fake in general.
      1. Gray brother
        Gray brother 28 January 2017 07: 46
        +1
        Quote: rpek32
        picture fake in general.

        Maybe, however, what is happening in some heads reflects quite accurately.
        1. rpek32
          rpek32 28 January 2017 07: 58
          +2
          @brother
          and I wouldn’t use the logic “I think I know what you think”

          @ gg.na
          Quote: gg.na
          This Zhukovsky is from liberals

          read his old posts

          link to web archive
          http://web.archive.org/web/20140723035421/https:/
          /twitter.com/vlad_zhukovskiy
          1. Gray brother
            Gray brother 28 January 2017 08: 53
            +1
            Quote: rpek32
            and I wouldn’t use the logic “I think I know what you think”

            1) I do not care who it is.
            2) Pesateli about everything was gone anyway a dime a dozen
    3. antivirus
      antivirus 28 January 2017 09: 26
      0
      But also the operating life (oh horror) can be extended.
      if there is stock.
      1. Gray brother
        Gray brother 28 January 2017 10: 44
        0
        Quote: antivirus
        if there is stock.

        There is always stock, the only question is the volume of work and the appropriateness of their implementation.
    4. ty60
      ty60 28 January 2017 14: 23
      +2
      Fulfill Zhukovsky’s desire; put his eggs on Sotheby’s.
  3. Mar.Tirah
    Mar.Tirah 28 January 2017 07: 29
    +6
    Quote: Expelling Liberoids
    They found the last ones quickly, but as elsewhere, the equipment in the production has a high degree of wear and tear, a lack of specialists, or a low level of knowledge of those who go into production, do not care about anyone? Well, well, it will be even worse and the deadlines will be postponed more than once.

    The production of high-tech weapons has always been difficult. Since the time of Korolev. And with the collapse of production it is doubly difficult to lift it from its knees. I hope everything will be settled. And we will have a man like Chelubey, or Korolev. And maybe there is,
    1. megavolt823
      megavolt823 28 January 2017 10: 52
      0
      Who is the Man? read about many. about which I have not heard. can Chelomei? colleagues, the main thing is not quantity but quality for this product. by the end of the 80x, a lot was stamped. and what ? hi
      1. siberalt
        siberalt 28 January 2017 13: 05
        +2
        There is something clearly confused with the battle of Kulikovo. And what can you do, it seems, a victim of EG.
    2. ty60
      ty60 28 January 2017 14: 25
      +2
      Forced to correct you, Chelomey. Perhaps, just a typo
  4. VadimSt
    VadimSt 28 January 2017 08: 36
    +4
    An unknown luminary came out and either tried to conduct the military-industrial complex, or decided to conduct public opinion - the article does not make sense, since the entire analysis of the rearmament of the armed forces was practically openly and repeatedly brought forward by the Minister of the Russian Armed Forces, - from the Center management MO!
  5. Mar.Tirah
    Mar.Tirah 28 January 2017 11: 10
    +2
    Quote: megavolt823
    Who is the Man? read about many. about which I have not heard. can Chelomei? colleagues, the main thing is not quantity but quality for this product. by the end of the 80x, a lot was stamped. and what ? hi

    Sorry, I didn’t write the name correctly. Of course, Chelomei. And this is to the fact that under incredible conditions, they could do what seemed impossible. They found ways out of any situation. But they coped with the task. And at least they didn’t know what they were facing, but nevertheless. It is not superfluous for the current leadership to recall their working methods.
  6. Old26
    Old26 28 January 2017 11: 44
    +1
    Quote: Gray Brother
    I don’t understand what the article is about.

    Yeah. An unnamed article from the IEE of the Independent newspaper .... And what about? unclear
  7. iouris
    iouris 28 January 2017 12: 52
    +1
    “I’ll tell you one clever thing, but don’t be offended” ... Maybe it’s for the best if silver solder is replaced with ordinary one, and tomorrow an agreement on reduction of nuclear weapons will be signed.
  8. Justme
    Justme 28 January 2017 14: 41
    +2
    From the work in the space research institutes, design bureaus I made observation
    - Development can be done really quickly, clearly, professionally ..
    The key moment of each project can be
    - achievement of extremely high technical parameters of the project,
    - achieving extremely high manufacturability of the final product,
    - achieving the ultimate level of control over the "situation" - as understanding the physics of processes, .. so understanding - what the workshop is doing, the "performance" that they arrange in places ..

    But .. With such ideas, we find ourselves in a conflict zone (.. hidden or little hidden)
    - The top management usually does not like independent wiseacres, because the question arises - it is necessary to organize the work rigidly adequately by someone's idea, which dictates a dilemma - or the top leadership does this intellectual work .. - or the actual management is transferred to someone ..
    - In such work it is necessary to “send to hell” a bunch of any regulation .. It can be shown by examples that a combination of very old IOM OSTs in the interpretation of a local old freak creates a “cool perversion” ... And if the application of regulation in quality assessment Since the final product does not raise questions, then in the very creation of new technology I would like to have a normal level of freedom.
    - You need to understand that the average statistical local “kingdom” of the research institute, the KB so that I would like to have and build, is a “personal chicken coop” .. And here you can give examples from the history of the places where I worked, and what further consequences it had. ..
    - The average statistical working audience is also quite curious ..
  9. demiurg
    demiurg 28 January 2017 15: 04
    +2
    Not without nuclear deterrence. The destruction of state infrastructure is one thing. This is very unpleasant, but fixable. Another thing is the total destruction of cities. With the impossibility of their restoration in the next 10-15 years (and in the case of ground explosions, and all 30-40-50 years). The city is not only working hands, it is also an enterprise, and usually transport interchanges. Plus radiation sickness.
    At the current stage of civilization without nuclear weapons in any way.
  10. Old26
    Old26 28 January 2017 17: 01
    +1
    Quote: JustMe
    Development can be done really quickly, clearly, professionally ..

    Really fast - how much? Year? Month?

    Quote: JustMe
    The key moment of each project can be
    - achievement of extremely high technical parameters of the project,
    - achieving extremely high manufacturability of the final product.

    Project parameters are set not by designers, but by the customer. It is he who determines what is needed for the complex. Extremely high manufacturability of the final product is already implied.

    All other kmk theses are very far from real life.
    1. Justme
      Justme 28 January 2017 21: 27
      +1
      Really fast - how much? Year? Month?
      A typical Network Diagram is a “sheet” that describes how a bunch of assholes put their hand through the whole year.
      But in practice, projects like DXS-025 can be done in a week - (and in fact at the NIIFI it was done a couple of years). Now I work in a private company and would like to note that we have the wildest difference in labor productivity

      Extremely high manufacturability of the final product is already implied.
      In reality, I have not seen anything like it.
      Moreover, on your own initiative, you can make a problem-free project. This means that - there will be no trakhodroma in the workshop ?! - Well, then you will not have career growth! You are judged by how you participate in the battle of trachodrom ..

      Project parameters are set not by designers, but by the customer.
      There are such “professionals” who, as they know how, are fooling the customer ..
      1. SergeBS
        SergeBS 28 January 2017 22: 03
        +1
        Quote: JustMe
        Now I work in a private company and would like to note that we have the wildest difference in labor productivity

        Between the storage of pasta (for example) and shells there is also the wildest difference in "labor productivity". This time.
        Between a broken stool in kitchen furniture (for example) and a trunk that exploded during a test - there is also the wildest difference. These are two.
        Well, or another comparison: when brake pads are changed on a wheelbarrow, for example, then no one has any documents about the regulations, etc. not painted. Just entered in the price tag and that's it. And when a faulty block is changed in an airplane, THREE signatures are there, confirming how and when it was done. And also the wildest difference in labor productivity is obtained.
        1. Justme
          Justme 28 January 2017 23: 00
          0
          Now, if we now have a problem, we will solve it (we have a full range of equipment that I often dream of in the defense industry)
          We have the main component - these are brains - this is something that is often banally squeezed out (in fact) from research institutes, design bureaus .. usually offering the role of a cheap smart-enthusiast ..
      2. antivirus
        antivirus 29 January 2017 13: 24
        0
        There are such “professionals” who, as they know how, are fooling the customer ..
        If the Customer has Money, then "ask" or "withdraw for money" is the duty of any contractor.
        otherwise see my comm "Potanin generation"
    2. SergeBS
      SergeBS 28 January 2017 22: 14
      +1
      Quote: Old26
      Extremely high manufacturability of the final product is already implied.

      In the defense industry? Oh well. There she was not born, there is not and cannot be. And in any country it is. Since extremely high adaptability is achievable under 2 conditions:
      1. Mass production, when investments in any technical equipment pay off.
      2. Long-term production of the product, when it turns out to introduce technical equipment, and find a cheaper material replacement, more technological chain by eliminating unnecessary quality control points or ANOTHER adding control points to reduce rejects at an intermediate stage. It depends on what is cheaper for dropouts in marriage.
      This simply cannot be in the defense industry.
      Do not confuse TECHNOLOGY (manufacturing method) with TECHNOLOGY (building the manufacturing chain).
  11. Old26
    Old26 28 January 2017 21: 43
    +3
    Quote: JustMe
    A typical Network Diagram is a “sheet” that describes how a bunch of assholes put their hand through the whole year.
    But in practice, projects like DXS-025 can be done in a week - (and in fact at the NIIFI it was done a couple of years). Now I work in a private company and would like to note that we have the wildest difference in labor productivity

    Maybe something was done at NIIFI, but it was practically impossible to do this at enterprises that were tied to dozens and hundreds of suppliers. And the network diagram is a completely normal solution to the problem if a lot of collaborators are involved.
    1. Justme
      Justme 28 January 2017 22: 14
      +1
      Here I have to agree ..
      I have always worked on the “periphery” of big tasks. In such places, such an option is possible when practically a “loner” or (which is better) one laboratory (or sector) can “soak” the entire research institute or design bureau both in quality and productivity and manufacturability ..
  12. Rabinowicz
    Rabinowicz 29 January 2017 00: 40
    +1
    How much power is needed to raise such a colossus as in the photo, also make it fly.
  13. Old26
    Old26 29 January 2017 20: 06
    +1
    Quote: Rabinovich
    How much power is needed to raise such a colossus as in the photo, also make it fly.

    The total thrust of four first-stage engines 576 tons with 211 tons of starting weight
    1. Rabinowicz
      Rabinowicz 30 January 2017 11: 34
      0
      Thank you, that's all interesting.
  14. Old26
    Old26 30 January 2017 20: 49
    0
    Quote: Rabinovich
    Thank you, that's all interesting.

    Missile technology has always been interesting.
  15. Loginoff
    Loginoff 26 November 2017 21: 38
    0
    Rockets are good. So for the next eight years, work is provided :).