Did the Americans play their game on the world stage?
Against the background of the American elections, the issue of the US political role in the world is by no means idle. Some Russian experts believe that the "hegemon" is retreating: the US global role will continue to decline. The reason for the decline is not inside the US, but outside: new major players have entered the arena, and Washington will have to make room.
Recall, on the eve of the election, the candidate Hillary Clinton was lucky: the FBI director James Komi, who, as some analysts suspected, deliberately started urgent investigation before the vote, said the presidential candidate from the Democratic Party will not be charged because of the scandal with the e-mail.
The FBI examined thousands of Madame Clinton emails stored on her assistant's husband's laptop. Earlier it was reported that officials found 650.000 service letters on Anthony Weiner's laptop. "Perusal" was conducted from Sunday before last with the help of a special program.
As a result, the "feds" did not change the decision taken, taken as early as July 2016: there is no crime in the actions of the former US Secretary of State.
“Based on our study (letters), we did not change our conclusion regarding (ex) Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, which was made in July,” he quotes RIA News" letter to Mr. Komi Congress.
According to Komi, investigators worked “24 hours a day” to study the newly discovered letters. All letters relating to Clinton were verified, Komi assures.
Thus, we add, Madame Clinton not only got out of the water dry, but also miraculously whitewashed, cleared of the dirt of the “postal scandal”. Analysts, who previously accused Mr. Komi of sympathizing with the Republican candidate, are now scratching turnips. And Hillary has every chance to win the election.
Especially since her rival Trump plunged into another scandal. Yes, even one in which his party members were forced to yield to their opponents. And not just party members, but advisors to the candidate!
These same advisers removed Donald Trump from his own microblog on Twitter, reports "Lenta.ru" with reference to The Hill.
This was done because the candidate systematically used microblogging to denigrate political opponents, and at the same time provided the voters with an “unfiltered look”. And this look diverged in wide circulation: Trump's microblog has more than thirteen million subscribers!
The scandal began with a newspaper: earlier, on October 25, The New York Times published a list of people and places (total 281 position) that Trump insulted on Twitter. Trump drove through individual members of the Republican Party, the Democratic Party, the media and even some countries. He called China a “terrible state,” Obama called it “weak and inefficient,” and The Wall Street Journal considered it “tabloid-like.” Hillary Clinton has a special place on the list: Mr. Trump devoted over three hundred angry notes to her.
If, we add, to track some polls, it becomes clear: the billionaire Trump is less likely to get into the White House than Hillary. Especially after Hillary was whitewashed by the FBI. However, the point is not that. Whoever of the two is in the White House, he will first have to solve the problems that have accumulated lately, which Mr. Obama, that is, the “lame duck”, prudently shifted to his “changer”.
Both Hillary and Donald would have to give real, rather than verbal, answers to a number of well-known questions.
It is easy to list the urgent problems to any person familiar with the geopolitical situation.
1. Syria. What to do with the Syrian problem, how to solve it after winning the election? Both Trump and Clinton have repeatedly stated that they intend to change American policy in the Middle East. Clinton talked about the creation of a no-fly zone over Syria, to which, however, other large American generals objected. Trump offered to establish cooperation with the Russians and jointly oppose IG (prohibited in the Russian Federation). His ideas came up against the resistance of the hawks, who did not consider that it was worth “building” something with the Russians. In short, the prospects for the United States in Syria are very vague: not all issues can be resolved by the president without Congress. It should be noted and the opinion of the people: ordinary Americans have long been tired of endless wars that unleashes their government. Now Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, now circling around Syria ...
2. Russia. To torment Russia with further sanctions, or to try to make an agreement with it? Trump is prone to compromise, although on this issue his position is very evasive. From Hillary, who sees Moscow’s hand in hacker actions against the US Democratic Party, the attitude towards the Kremlin is much tougher. It is unlikely that it will start a “reset of 2.0”, and hardly Russian-speaking comrade McFaul will fly to Moscow again.
3. Ukraine. There is likely to continue the “evil tradition” of Barack Obama: the endless mention in the speeches of the “Minsk agreements”.
4. Tension in the world caused by the new cold war. This is a separate question to which the updated White House will have to give a more or less clear answer, since Obama declined to answer as best he could. According to Obama, there is no cold war, but there are sanctions. Clinton or Trump will have to either confirm this thesis or refute it. Bypassing him with silence or excuses for 4 of the year of government will not succeed.
5. And the main geopolitical issue: the place of the USA in the world, the role of Washington on the planet.
On this account there are opinions of Russian experts.
Director of the Franklin Roosevelt Foundation for the Study of the USA, Moscow State University Yuri Rogulev told the publication Utro.ru about the likely reduction of the US global role in the future.
According to the expert, “The United States is trying not to rule the world, but to“ exercise world leadership or domination. ” The latter is based primarily on two factors: the economy and power impact. Economic dominance is expressed through transnational corporations and banks, as well as through the reserve currency, the dollar (payments for oil and gas are carried out in dollars, reminds Rogulev).
The military lever of influence is as follows. Most of the US Army is located abroad (around 800 bases in 100 countries).
Separately, an expert noted propaganda: the American media "dominate the world press." That is an additional factor. In total, there are three factors: information, military and economic.
In the future, the expert is sure, the US role in the world will decline: “Yes, America’s role will decline. It decreases constantly. This happens very slowly, but this process is inevitable. Not because the Americans are so bad, or they are getting weaker, or they can no longer do anything. Just because other countries are growing, other economies are growing. We see the development of the so-called "centers of power". We are seeing the development of China’s economy, which is almost equal, and in some respects it is superior to the American economy. We see the development of the Indian economy: the country is developing very rapidly. We see the development of Brazil. And to a lesser extent, we see the development of Russia. Russia is simply inferior to these countries in terms of its population. ”
And this number of states will constitute more and more competition to the United States, Rogulev believes. Even Europe, if it starts to “Euro-Atlantic ties”, will also be able to compete with the United States.
Bottom line: Washington will increasingly globally dominate.
The question is, add what response to this global challenge will give the new US president. Hillary Clinton is quite belligerent, which suggests the idea of maintaining the global role of America with her. Mr. Trump insists on the revival of the great America, which in some way brings him closer to the controversial figure of Mikhail Gorbachev, in which the USSR spoke of "revival" (they continued to speak under Yeltsin). Trump intends to weaken the US external military presence in the world and is even ready to demand more money from NATO members, saying that the United States will not ensure the safety of those whose wallet is empty.
It turns out that Trump approaches issues like a businessman, a merchant who measures actions with benefits (even for the homeland), and Clinton - like an old and experienced politician who will not break the usual behavior of the American establishment on the world stage or stereotypes. The cold war is what it needs, it is from the old politics. Therefore, one thing is clear now: if they choose it, relations with Russia are hardly warmer. Madame Clinton will behave like a new hegemon, whatever the experts may say.
It is not for this that it rushes into power in order to proclaim America’s “retreat”.
Recall, on the eve of the election, the candidate Hillary Clinton was lucky: the FBI director James Komi, who, as some analysts suspected, deliberately started urgent investigation before the vote, said the presidential candidate from the Democratic Party will not be charged because of the scandal with the e-mail.
The FBI examined thousands of Madame Clinton emails stored on her assistant's husband's laptop. Earlier it was reported that officials found 650.000 service letters on Anthony Weiner's laptop. "Perusal" was conducted from Sunday before last with the help of a special program.
As a result, the "feds" did not change the decision taken, taken as early as July 2016: there is no crime in the actions of the former US Secretary of State.
“Based on our study (letters), we did not change our conclusion regarding (ex) Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, which was made in July,” he quotes RIA News" letter to Mr. Komi Congress.
According to Komi, investigators worked “24 hours a day” to study the newly discovered letters. All letters relating to Clinton were verified, Komi assures.
Thus, we add, Madame Clinton not only got out of the water dry, but also miraculously whitewashed, cleared of the dirt of the “postal scandal”. Analysts, who previously accused Mr. Komi of sympathizing with the Republican candidate, are now scratching turnips. And Hillary has every chance to win the election.
Especially since her rival Trump plunged into another scandal. Yes, even one in which his party members were forced to yield to their opponents. And not just party members, but advisors to the candidate!
These same advisers removed Donald Trump from his own microblog on Twitter, reports "Lenta.ru" with reference to The Hill.
This was done because the candidate systematically used microblogging to denigrate political opponents, and at the same time provided the voters with an “unfiltered look”. And this look diverged in wide circulation: Trump's microblog has more than thirteen million subscribers!
The scandal began with a newspaper: earlier, on October 25, The New York Times published a list of people and places (total 281 position) that Trump insulted on Twitter. Trump drove through individual members of the Republican Party, the Democratic Party, the media and even some countries. He called China a “terrible state,” Obama called it “weak and inefficient,” and The Wall Street Journal considered it “tabloid-like.” Hillary Clinton has a special place on the list: Mr. Trump devoted over three hundred angry notes to her.
If, we add, to track some polls, it becomes clear: the billionaire Trump is less likely to get into the White House than Hillary. Especially after Hillary was whitewashed by the FBI. However, the point is not that. Whoever of the two is in the White House, he will first have to solve the problems that have accumulated lately, which Mr. Obama, that is, the “lame duck”, prudently shifted to his “changer”.
Both Hillary and Donald would have to give real, rather than verbal, answers to a number of well-known questions.
It is easy to list the urgent problems to any person familiar with the geopolitical situation.
1. Syria. What to do with the Syrian problem, how to solve it after winning the election? Both Trump and Clinton have repeatedly stated that they intend to change American policy in the Middle East. Clinton talked about the creation of a no-fly zone over Syria, to which, however, other large American generals objected. Trump offered to establish cooperation with the Russians and jointly oppose IG (prohibited in the Russian Federation). His ideas came up against the resistance of the hawks, who did not consider that it was worth “building” something with the Russians. In short, the prospects for the United States in Syria are very vague: not all issues can be resolved by the president without Congress. It should be noted and the opinion of the people: ordinary Americans have long been tired of endless wars that unleashes their government. Now Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, now circling around Syria ...
2. Russia. To torment Russia with further sanctions, or to try to make an agreement with it? Trump is prone to compromise, although on this issue his position is very evasive. From Hillary, who sees Moscow’s hand in hacker actions against the US Democratic Party, the attitude towards the Kremlin is much tougher. It is unlikely that it will start a “reset of 2.0”, and hardly Russian-speaking comrade McFaul will fly to Moscow again.
3. Ukraine. There is likely to continue the “evil tradition” of Barack Obama: the endless mention in the speeches of the “Minsk agreements”.
4. Tension in the world caused by the new cold war. This is a separate question to which the updated White House will have to give a more or less clear answer, since Obama declined to answer as best he could. According to Obama, there is no cold war, but there are sanctions. Clinton or Trump will have to either confirm this thesis or refute it. Bypassing him with silence or excuses for 4 of the year of government will not succeed.
5. And the main geopolitical issue: the place of the USA in the world, the role of Washington on the planet.
On this account there are opinions of Russian experts.
Director of the Franklin Roosevelt Foundation for the Study of the USA, Moscow State University Yuri Rogulev told the publication Utro.ru about the likely reduction of the US global role in the future.
According to the expert, “The United States is trying not to rule the world, but to“ exercise world leadership or domination. ” The latter is based primarily on two factors: the economy and power impact. Economic dominance is expressed through transnational corporations and banks, as well as through the reserve currency, the dollar (payments for oil and gas are carried out in dollars, reminds Rogulev).
The military lever of influence is as follows. Most of the US Army is located abroad (around 800 bases in 100 countries).
Separately, an expert noted propaganda: the American media "dominate the world press." That is an additional factor. In total, there are three factors: information, military and economic.
In the future, the expert is sure, the US role in the world will decline: “Yes, America’s role will decline. It decreases constantly. This happens very slowly, but this process is inevitable. Not because the Americans are so bad, or they are getting weaker, or they can no longer do anything. Just because other countries are growing, other economies are growing. We see the development of the so-called "centers of power". We are seeing the development of China’s economy, which is almost equal, and in some respects it is superior to the American economy. We see the development of the Indian economy: the country is developing very rapidly. We see the development of Brazil. And to a lesser extent, we see the development of Russia. Russia is simply inferior to these countries in terms of its population. ”
And this number of states will constitute more and more competition to the United States, Rogulev believes. Even Europe, if it starts to “Euro-Atlantic ties”, will also be able to compete with the United States.
Bottom line: Washington will increasingly globally dominate.
The question is, add what response to this global challenge will give the new US president. Hillary Clinton is quite belligerent, which suggests the idea of maintaining the global role of America with her. Mr. Trump insists on the revival of the great America, which in some way brings him closer to the controversial figure of Mikhail Gorbachev, in which the USSR spoke of "revival" (they continued to speak under Yeltsin). Trump intends to weaken the US external military presence in the world and is even ready to demand more money from NATO members, saying that the United States will not ensure the safety of those whose wallet is empty.
It turns out that Trump approaches issues like a businessman, a merchant who measures actions with benefits (even for the homeland), and Clinton - like an old and experienced politician who will not break the usual behavior of the American establishment on the world stage or stereotypes. The cold war is what it needs, it is from the old politics. Therefore, one thing is clear now: if they choose it, relations with Russia are hardly warmer. Madame Clinton will behave like a new hegemon, whatever the experts may say.
It is not for this that it rushes into power in order to proclaim America’s “retreat”.
Information