The battle for Aleppo has not six months, and 5 years. So many years ago, the militants first came to this Syrian region. And since then no forces can bring order and stability. It's not just the differences of the Security Council. There are far more material reasons for Aleppo to remain on fire.
The reasons. In Aleppo, the militants entered 2012 year. Since then, the population of Aleppo has almost quadrupled. The fighting here does not subside for a minute: it is a strategically important settlement, and to take control of it completely means to occupy the north. From here to the Turkish border a little less than a hundred kilometers along the federal highway. That is why the militants are trying to do everything so as not to give up their positions.
1. Map designations of the federal highways, they are also highways connecting the largest cities of Syria. All roads lead here. In addition, control over Aleppo = control of the entire Syrian north (the federal highway is a major road connecting the largest cities in the country).
2. And this is a map of the main oil fields and oil market points:
- Smuggling route - smuggling route.
- Primary oil route - the official route of oil transportation.
- Mobile refinety - mobile processing plants.
As I said, all roads lead to Aleppo, and Erdogan for Moscow is a so-so friend.
Aleppo needs to export money and oil. And no control of Idlib, which is officially considered the base of An-Nusra, will not help with this. Only Aleppo. Well, and, of course, Dair ez-Zor. And between these two cities what? True, the capital and main city of IG is Raqqa. All ingenious is simple. I already wrote about how much IG takes out of Syria and how much it earns.
3. Why not make a corridor for local output? More precisely, they are already there. In February, July and September, Russia, together with the Syrian government, tried to crank the humanitarian operation in Aleppo: at least three corridors for civilians and one for militants with weapons and technology. So why can't we use them?
Firstly, because the corridors are instantly mined by the militants.
Many residents tried to leave the territory occupied by terrorists, but the militants shot the fugitives. For example, October 6 in several districts, including Al-Huluk, near the Umar bin Khatab mosque, residents set the state flags of Syria, and about forty families attempted to leave the territory controlled by the militants. Fire was opened on them. Three people were detained and publicly executed by terrorists, the rest were forcibly returned.
Civilians are being bombarded with “Hellfire”, this leads to huge numbers of victims, and humanitarian aid along with medical assistance never reaches the addressees because of the mined roads.
In addition, they began a total forced mobilization and forced to fight even children, mobilized men in Syria under arms.
Secondly, because the SAA and VKS of the Russian Federation will not really allow people to be brought out of Aleppo. Because then aviation he will be able to bomb Aleppo without hesitation, without fear that, along with the militants, the Syrian population will also be affected. So, Aleppo will be able to occupy the Assad army, take control of Turkey. Against the former, the whole West with their indefatigably immoderate opposition, against the latter, Kurdish formations supported by the West. No matter how much we try to save people, the main task of the terrorists now is to prevent the city from being empty.
Thirdly, if the peaceful population is released along the corridors, the militants will automatically lose their human shields and hostages from the environment in which, if necessary, they easily dissolve, depicting artisans during the day, and turning at night to jihadists.
4. The reason I didn’t want to believe for a long time, but it seems I have to. The fact is that the greatest number of Syrian refugees falls on Aleppo and the areas located nearby. And almost all of these people, who, let me remind you, are already 5 years away from their homes, say they are ready to return to liberated Aleppo.
And just imagine what a huge layer of problems Europe will get rid of if at least some of the refugees return home. Meanwhile, the destabilization of Europe and neighboring states will greatly weaken. It looks like a fantastic conspiracy, but if we already have documents declaring grants to destabilize countries, then why should we exclude that refugees are a weapon to destabilize the eurozone (and with it the euro as the main competitor of the dollar)?
Assad. In an interview that Syrian President Bashar Asad gave to a Russian newspaper, he mentioned the following: “Before that, there was a so-called American alliance, whose actions look illusory, they did nothing. ISIL and Al-Nusra (banned in Russia) and other countries) were advancing, had a huge number of militants. Moreover, the recruitment of terrorists only intensified. They received more and more oil for export through Turkey. But after Russian intervention, the territory controlled by terrorists decreased. say, the Russians have changed the balance of ground forces not in favor of the terrorists. "
And now we will return to the map with the main oil traffic location. Well, is there any doubt that Aleppo is the center of the Syrian war?
Obama and the Security Council. Today Barack Obama will hold a regular meeting on the Syrian issue.
"... the source considers it more likely that the US will allow the allies to begin supplying groups of the Syrian opposition that have been tested by the American side with more advanced weapons than previously supplied. These new weapons systems will not have to include man-portable air defense systems, reports Reuters. "
It is believed that Obama will be offered to strike at Assad’s positions, but if Washington supports the decision to provide the opposition forces with more advanced weapons, including aircraft, which will certainly be in the hands of terrorist groups, as it was for many years in a row, then Obama's hands will not be stained with blood. All the dirty work again will do the IG and co. Then the goal will be achieved, and the person saved.
In general, the latest trends in the White House very well explain the presence of C-300 and C-400 near our bases in Tartus and Hamim. If the United States really strengthens the "moderate opposition", which, according to Assad, does not exist, then the reason for the deployment of our air defense is the most significant.
Thus, Aleppo is a concentrate of interests of economic, energy, logistic and geopolitical. Therefore, the desperate attempts of the Russian Federation to stabilize the situation are broken by the US pofigism, which simply ignore any agreements. Of course, it seems like you can’t publicly refuse to restore order, so the papers on the silence mode were signed. Only there is no one to carry them out.
Based on the fact that a large-scale operation is planned in Iraq’s Mosul and, possibly, the supply of new weapons, the resolution of the Aleppo issue will not appear until November. And there is already a new head of the White House, and a completely different one. story.