Crimean terrorist attack. What turned the MTR of Ukraine
Ukrainians, on the contrary, overwhelmingly believed in the non-participation of their elite fighters in this operation. Media and a variety of opinions have done their job. And most importantly, Russia, having frightened the Ukrainian politicians with the presence of indisputable evidence, is in no hurry to make this evidence public. The photo of Panov, which was posted by one of the commanders in his blog from the meeting of the leaders of the SSO, was deleted.
The fact that there is such evidence is a fact. This is perfectly illustrated by the reaction of our president. Moreover, the reaction of the leaders of those countries, which cannot be called friendly to us, speaks of this. Merkel fell silent, Hollande fell silent. Even the President of the United States is thoughtfully silent about sabotage in the Crimea. One feels that Lavrov still “showed” something.
However, for the majority of readers it remains a mystery about what happened. Why so "clumsy" worked specialists in Ukraine. What is more in what happened - chance or "clumsiness".
Forces special operations of Ukraine "copied" from the US MTR. But, a copy is always worse than the original. And the desire to "improve" and "strengthen" the MTR at the expense of the "jumble" of training methods led to a completely opposite result. Best the enemy of the good. A "mixture of" wonderful "dishes" often becomes just garbage.
Many readers wonder: "Why did the Ukrainian saboteurs decide to" work out "the Crimea?". Why for such a work picked up such a strange group of groups. Judge for yourself, the staff officer of the SSO Panov, the criminal Zakhtey, the Crimean Tatars from the inhabitants of the Crimea.
On the fresh footsteps of events, we wrote that the operation too “looks like” a PR action. A lot of noise. Lots of shooting. Many political statements. And ... zero in the end. Why?
A person, who is not even connected with the special services, due to the fact that there are enough sources of information today, knows that the saboteurs work according to a simple scheme. Quietly came, did his job and quietly left. Work MTR does not like noise.
That is, in principle, done. Panov and his subordinates arrived legitimately in the Crimea. We carried out reconnaissance, mapped out sabotage sites, made bookmarks. Border security mode allows you to do this. But then the questions started.
Judging by the actions of the group commander, and by open sources and the media, we know that this is Panov, he has experience in conducting operations. It is an experience. And where could he gain this experience? In Russia? Hardly. Most likely, Panov worked in the republics. Probably, for the LDNR special services it will not be a big problem to study the movement of this subject through their territory. Especially knowing his "roof".
The driver, even with a pronounced obesity, is unlikely to cause interest in the relevant services. Brought something. Back something lucky. Today, many of these drivers have already become familiar at checkpoints. By the way, this may explain the "strange" disappearances of the performers after some major terrorist attacks. Such as the murder of the most authoritative leaders of the Republicans, attempts on the leaders of the republics and so on.
Probably, this experience of successful operations played a cruel joke with Panov. Belief in one’s “genius” and elusiveness contributes little to the success of an assignment.
Now about the "caches". Judging by what we were shown, the saboteurs were preparing for serious operations. Moreover, it seems that such a number of "tools" clearly exceeds the capabilities of one group. You do not need to be a rocket scientist to understand that the ammunition and explosives were intended for completely different people.
After the first explosion, the FSB of Russia would have “turned on” all its capabilities in searching for saboteurs. And the success of other operations would be very doubtful. Then, who is the "addressee" of caches? Who should "get out of the shadow"?
Most likely, this is a radical group of the number of "chicks Islyamova." Those who once belonged to the radical groups of the Crimean Tatars, who were in the battalions in the Kherson region. Those who "fell asleep" today. I think that what is called in the messages “the liquidation of the network of Ukrainian saboteurs” is the main merit of the FSB. And the fact that today the media "forgot" about the saboteurs only proves that the blow was serious. But the “clean up” still needs a lot.
The criminal in the group. Zakhtey only proves that the attacks were planned in a one-time mode. MTRs use felons precisely as an expendable material. Why create a network if you can use ready-made criminal connections? But, on the other hand, as soon as crime understands that it has passed into the category of terrorists, criminals have no choice. Or go to the end, or die. There is no way back.
In general, the task that the Kiev authorities set for the Ukrainian MTR was completely failed. Scare the tourists terrorist attacks failed. The holiday season, no matter how Kiev would like, is successful. It was not possible to organize the "Crimean-Tatar resistance". To arouse interest in the Crimea from the Western countries and the United States too.
I want to talk about another task. Let not so clearly visible, but relevant for Kiev. About visa-free regime for Ukrainians. It is no secret that millions of Ukrainians in Russia are viewed as potential enemies of the existing regime. Even "washed" brains, without constant "feeding" start to think. And the fact that Ukrainians really see in Russia forces them to simply juxtapose the facts.
Likewise with the "vacationers". How many video reports about trips to the Crimea posted Ukrainian bloggers. How many eyewitness stories were in private conversations. And all this plays against Poroshenko and the company.
Close the border Kiev is not solved. I am well aware that many families today live off income from Russia. But hoping to push Russia to the introduction of a visa regime. In general, it did not work out. But look at the blogosphere of Russia. How many such offers and even requirements appeared?
But back to the Ukrainian SSO. What preliminary conclusions can be drawn today about the state of these units? We did not learn anything new. MTR part of the army of Ukraine. And she got exactly the same problems as the APU.
To resist a serious "counterintelligence" USSO can not. Yes, and there is no such task today. Soldiers and officers of this "office" are more adapted to work against Republicans. The operation in the Crimea was clearly "demonstrative" in nature. And it was designed for the reaction of the West and Russia.
American instructors played a very bad joke with the Ukrainians. The “beautiful wrapper” with the opening of the training center, with the preparation by American methods, with the dispersal of really serious professionals, like Colonel Krivonos, turned out to be filled with just earth. Candy there and did not smell.
Like most of what the Ukrainian government has done over the years, the MTR turned out to be just a beautiful picture. The picture, calculated on the "washed brain" Ukrainians. However, it is the unpredictability and lack of professionalism of Ukrainian intelligence and saboteurs that is of particular concern. Even a cat, cornered, becomes a tiger. Dies, but harms. And we need it?
What happened today in Ukraine will “haunt” us for years. And it will not take long for the workers of counterintelligence and other special services to "sleep" in the service. And the strengthening of the protection of borders with Ukraine, not only in the Crimea, but throughout its length, today is an urgent need. In order not to say our "friends" from NATO and the United States about our aggressive plans, this should be done. And we will do it. Leperosarium is necessary to "enclose" cordons of protection. To even the desire to come to us with weapons and BB did not occur.
Come relax, come to work, come live, but never come with a weapon. How many years have passed since the warning of Alexander Nevsky. And everything does not reach ...
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